Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. But on all probability it would. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Scripture says. Opportunity - livebendy.com By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Thats 150,000 generations. A lovely day to you. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist Please pass this post along. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Do you know the odds of being alive? Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Now things start getting interesting. 7 distinct works Similar authors. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. And worry and fear? To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Step 2. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Why? That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! On one try. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. saving. So what's the probability of your being born? As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. But Im not mathy. dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Yet here we are. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. June 5. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Are they gross exaggerations? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Onward to freedom! Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner The odds of being born - Lottoland The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14).