Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. Even though three different physical problems were cited to explain Wainwrights plummeting velocity and ineffective pitching? All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . 1st stage: All good. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. Scott Rolen signs his name into history, calls Cardinals a 'catapult Actually, its two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. That's an average of 174 innings per year. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. ago. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. Conn: It's time to slow down on the Cardinals Hall of Fame I want to confine my results to the integration era, as, while this whole exercise is based on some level of silliness, I dont think asking Adam Wainwright to win 40 games and pitch 400 innings is particularly fair. In that piece, I highlighted 10 position players, some of whom have gained significant ground via JAWS, others who reached major milestones or simply returned to productivity after injury-plagued stretches. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. We use cookies to improve your experience. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. We didn't recognize that password reset code. Adam Wainwright answers if he thinks he's a Hall of Famer | Foul Hall of Very Good. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? 34. Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Everyone Thinks Justin Verlander Belongs In The Hall Of Fame. So Why Cardinals' Adam Wainwright reaches 2,000 strikeouts As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Velocity? It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. The 40-year . By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. Press release: Cardinals announce 2022 promotions schedule - MLB.com Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. The oldest and wisest twin. Adam Wainwright Archives - Cooperstown Cred Adam Wainwright on Jason Isringhausen entering Cardinals Hall of Fame Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. Pirates, Cardinals 2022 Opening Day FAQ - MLB.com Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. Will this happen? He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. I try to stay out of it as much as possible.. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Always ranking QBs. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Adam Wainwright Contract, Stats, Hall of Fame, Age, Jersey His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. His monitor score is only an 87. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. Adam Wainwright Congratulates Former Teammate On HOF It goes something like this . That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. But the guys that have got in recently just have been the best at the craft for a decade, Wainwright said. Opinion | Is Adam Wainwright a Hall of Famer? - KSDK.com We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). What injury? All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Drew move to Atlanta. None. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick | 03/02/2023 | MLB.com Yadier Molina's Hall of Fame case is perplexing, but here's why the It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. Be the first one to comment on this story. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. Please logout and login again. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. While Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina are already committed to retirement, what becomes of star pitcher Adam Wainwright remains a question for St. Louis fans. The good news is that Sale is missing bats and taking names, offering hope that the 32-year-old lefty can resume a quest for Cooperstown that was beginning to come into focus before he was injured. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. Godspeed, Waino. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. However, not all stories have happy endings. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. Central Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto headlines the list of players in the National League West who are on track to have a chance to make it into baseball's Hall of Fame. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. All rights reserved. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. . It happens a lot. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). The hot air balloon . How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown. 5th stage: 60-day IL. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. But the Cardinals and the pitcher Cardinals changed the schedule for his first start; Flaherty threw on the backfields instead. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. 1:09 | September 14, 2022 St. Louis Cardinals analyst Brad Thompson joins Blair and Barker to talk about whether Adam Wainwright deserves a nod into the Baseball Hall of Fame, stating you. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? 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St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. {* traditionalSignIn_signInButton *}, Comment and participate in our online community. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. Verlanders resume is impressive; hes led the league in strikeouts four times, wins twice, won a pitching triple crown, and thrown two no-hitters. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. NL Wild Card Game: Is Adam Wainwright Going To Join Max - Forbes