The biggest jump in importance at Bay Hill in terms of correlation with SG: TOT isSG: Short GameandSG: APP, which enter the top 10 of key stat categories this week. 1 has played in 10 events this season. His answer is notable, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, How to prevent golf-club damage | Fully Equipped Mailbag, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. PGA TOUR - European Tour - 4 Most Recent Majors - Champions Tour - LPGA - Korn Ferry - Custom Performance Analysis Where Winners Come From - examine position of tournament winners per round - by player or tournament Prior Tournaments - analyize previous 4 Weeks on tour and at this weeks tournament. In 1993, my 1st year, I believe still were using Titleist Tour Balata - then the "Professional" came out next. Riviera CC is a refreshing reminder that you can design a golf course to be challenging at just 7,300 yards. How do LIV Golfs TV ratings really compare to the PGA Tour? Willy Z was the first name I threw out as someone I thought could be your winner here this week. Players will not have a wedge in their hands too often, unless they have chosen to lay up out of the rough. Though Mr. Palmer has passed on, the tinkering at Bay Hill continues. Bay Hill is no different with five par-4s measuring over 450 yards and all four par-3s measuring over 200 yards. LPGA Tour player average distances: Driver, irons, wedges Driver: 230-290 yards 3-wood: 190-260 yards 3-iron: 185-215 yards 4-iron: 170-200 yards 5-iron: 160-190 yards 6-iron: 150-175. So its yet another week to reference performance in difficult, Major-like conditions when handicapping this event. Most amateur golfers only have a sense of their distance for full swings whereas PGA Tour and LPGA Tour pros will keep yardages for a full swing and partial . This is one of the rare weeks on the PGA TOUR where Course History is sticky enough to prioritize over Comp Course History. Instead, the list of past champions back to tee it up includeMax Homa, Adam Scott, J.B. Holmes, and James Hahn. For the week, Casey's average proximity was 41 feet 11 inches. Hes still chasing his first career win at this event, but with three top-10 finishes over the last four years, its clear this layout is suited to his game. A second consecutive elevated event is the perfect way to fill the void left behind for casual sports bettors, especially those with a little extra Super Bowl winnings in their accounts to spare. Id say Im committed regardless of the odds, and in addition to Zalatoris, will also be considering Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, and Sam Burns for my betting card when Arnold Palmer Invitational odds are released on Monday. Also similar to PGA National, heavy Florida winds factor in. In 2021, we saw play suspended due to severe winds. Its clear he gets the most out of his game as the conditions grow more difficult. A recipient of the Arnold Palmer scholarship at Wake Forest University, there are some ties to The King for Willy Z. The hole plays 14 yards longer than the difficult par-4 12th hole and features the same scoring average of 4.3. 1 in the field in terms of SG: T2G in comp conditions. Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks, Predictions, Odds 2023: Rahm, McIlroy All of those factors come under the assumption that play occurs on a calm day, which were not always promised. It should begin to populate by midday Monday as sportsbooks open odds for the API. Similar to the back-to-back designated events in Phoenix and Los Angeles just a few weeks ago, The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass is next week on the Tour schedule. A year later, he continues to suit Riviera CC well and claims the No. Long game shots (those starting over 100 yards from the hole) explain about two-thirds of the variability in scores among golfers on the PGA TOUR. A par-68 layout measuring at over 7,600 yards and. The Florida Swing is a cluttered stretch on the PGA TOUR schedule. Tony Finau can confirm. PDF Assessing Golfer Performance on the PGA TOUR - Columbia University rory mcilroy pga tour career mode best attributes A win in Arnies tournament would be quite a moment for the young man. Instead, itll be a week for patience to observe where the value slips to. For the week, Caseys average proximity was 41 feet 11 inches. Only 80.4 percent of PGA Tour pros hit the green from 115 yards out in the fairway, which means that 1 in 5 miss the green altogether. If you look at the pre-tournament odds of the last seven winners at Bay Hill, you will find that long shots are few and far between: Scottie Scheffler (16-1), Bryson DeChambeau (12-1), Tyrrell Hatton (55-1), Francesco Molinari (33-1), Rory McIlroy (20-1), Marc Leishman (100-1), Jason Day (14-1). That has been proven here at Bay Hill with four visits to this tournament and finishes of 21st, 20th, 3rd, and 3rd. Ive broken the list down by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings: For my model inFantasy Nationalthis week, Im prioritizing Bogey Avoidance (Difficult Conditions), Comp Course History, SG: APP, Prox 150-200, SG: T2G (Comp Conditions), and Good Drives Gained. . Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! With a winning score of -12 or less in five of the last six contests, the ability to repeatedly scramble for pars is a premium skillset to bring to Bay Hill. With narrow fairways, below-average driving distance, and some of the thickest rough on TOUR, were going to see plenty of long iron approaches out of thick rough. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, The secret to making perfect fried chicken and waffles, according to a golf-club chef, One of the worst things to happen: Pro rants after PGA Tour change, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 2 groupings for Friday, How to watch the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational on Thursday: Round 1 TV schedule, streaming, The PGA Tour has created a hierarchy. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. Again, well see if he can win it outright but he certainly has the chops to contend. SG: P (20-25 ft), P3: 200+andDriving Distancealso saw notable increases in importance compared to TOUR average. I also looked at Quail Hollow (Wells Fargo Championship), Congaree (CJ Cup 2022), and Southern Hills (PGA Championship 2022). Lots of my shots with the 7 iron has a smash factor of 1.50-1.51. From a putting standpoint, the Bermuda specialists stand out on the Florida Swing. He ranks 35th in this field for SG Ball Striking over the last 36 rounds and 40th in SG Off the Tee. But a T4 finish at the Genesis Invitational last we saw him should now quell any remaining speculation as to whether hes healthy enough to contend again. Theyll often serve to bail out false fronts where players can make an easier up and down. With its Elevated status, the purse has increased to an event-high $20M, which has attracted all eligible players inside the OWGR top-50. Course Breakdown: Bay Hill - RickRunGood | Fantasy Golf & Betting Data He is 19th in Proximity to the Hole from 200 yards or greater. Green Hit % % Short % Long: Proximity (ft) 24%: 61%: 15%: 86.3 (29 yards) . Eric Cole's roller coaster stretch, which includes both tragedy and With that said, there are still plenty of signals to draw from other long and difficult comp conditions. For example, the average full driver distance on the PGA tour is roughly 320 yards. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) Nicolai Cetti Engstrm. That distinction (and his presence) adds more prestige to the tournament. Copyright 2023 Leaf Group Ltd. / Leaf Group Media, All Rights Reserved. Like TPC Scottsdale, Augusta National, and Harbour Town, Bay Hill is another course in which we see course form repeat itself over time, meaning players that have done well here in the past, tend to continually do so. . Course Fit Tool Are certain skill sets such as distance, or accuracy favoured at specific courses? Scott has not missed a cut since the PGA Championship in May 2022, and has four top-6 finishes over his last nine starts. Hitting the Green From 200 Yards. This will be one of the most crucial weeks for short game outside of Majors. There are so many memorable holes at Riviera CC: Look at Viktor Hovland's line on 15. Scrambling GainedandSG: Short Gamemake the biggest jump compared to TOUR average, each falling inside the top 10. If you want to bet on Tiger for the novelty of it, there is a non-zero chance he finds his way into the weekend through his short game alone. The Twitter handle is a joke. That changes this year, however, with the Arnold Palmer Invitational now a Designated Event with a higher purse and expectations for all top players to appear. on the PGA TOUR. Zalatoris was battling injury back in the fall but his 4th place finish two weeks ago at the Genesis Invitational tells me he is back up to speed. From short approach shots (60-100 yards) the average proximity is shown below from 3 different lie types: fairway, rough and bunker. The Genesis Invitational slightly favors longer hitters with great short game, particularly on Poa. For my model inFantasy Nationalthis week, Im prioritizing SG: APP, SG: ARG, Prox 150+, Course & Comp Course History, and SG: T2G (Difficult Scoring Conditions) followed by a more balanced mix of Weighted Putting (Bermuda, Fast Greens), Driving Distance, P4: 450-500, Par 3: 200+, Par-5 Scoring, Bogey Avoidance, and SG: T2G (L12 Rounds). You can follow Kannon on Twitter at@LasVegasGolferand you can read below to see his favorite plays for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which kicks off Thursday at Bay Hill, in Orlando, Fla. Keep scrolling past Kannons picks, and youll also see data from Chirp,a free-to-play mobile platform andGOLF.comaffiliate that features a range of games with enticing prizes, giving fans all kinds of ways to engage in the action without risking any money. New tee at TPC Sawgrass No. 9 could mean Players' first 600-yard hole With all the course-fit profiles in mind, Im leaning early toward the 2023 Genesis Invitational player pool below. A look down the list of past champions illustrates a trend of above-average driving distance with total driving as a strength of their games. LPGA pros hit 4-irons that total 180 yards; 5-irons 170; 6-irons 159; 7-irons 147; 8-irons 135; and 9-irons 123 yards.